Foreclosure Starts Up Nearly 20% In California

Despite foreclosure inventories, foreclosure sales drop

Discovery Bay, CA, March 15, 2010 ForeclosureRadar (www.foreclosureradar.com), the only website that tracks every California foreclosure and provides daily auction updates, issued its monthly California Foreclosure Report for for February 2010. After reaching the lowest level in a year last month, Notice of Defaults, the start of the foreclosure process, increased by 19.7 percent in February. The number of properties scheduled for foreclosure sale remained near record levels, yet foreclosure sales, either Back to Bank or Sold to 3rd Parties, dropped by 11.9 percent total.

“The disconnect between delinquencies, and foreclosure sales continues to widen,” says Sean O’Toole, Founder and CEO of ForeclosureRadar.com. “While efforts to slow foreclosures are clearly working, it remains unclear that anything has yet addressed the core problem of excess household mortgage debt.”

Foreclosure Filings

Notice of Default

Prior MonthPrior Year
19.69%-37.74%

Notice of Trustee Sale

Prior MonthPrior Year
3.58%33.33%

After four consecutive months of decline, Notice of Default filings bounced up by 19.7 percent to 31,004 filings. Filings of Notices of Trustee Sale, which sets the date and time of the foreclosure auction, increased slightly as well, rising 3.6 percent to 28,195 filings.

foreclosure sales, PropertyRadar

8-Sep8-Oct8-Nov8-Dec9-Jan9-Feb9-Mar9-Apr9-May9-Jun9-Jul9-Aug9-Sep9-Oct9-Nov9-Dec10-Jan10-Feb
167461736121857439744058049799586234733742203470934753037063381753653430478272002590431004
196742640228468284492489021147345593155643355307114075734224331123855828170284752722028195

Foreclosure Outcomes

Back to Bank (REO)

Prior MonthPrior Year
-14.34%-27.67%

Cancellations

Prior MonthPrior Year
0.88%98.974%

Sold to 3rd Party

Prior MonthPrior Year
-2.72%184.83%

Foreclosure sales are the last step in the foreclosure process and result in the property being transferred from the homeowner either back to the bank, or to a 3rd party, typically an investor. Foreclosure sales decreased 11.9 percent in February, with the portion going Back to Bank dropping by 14.3 percent and the portion to 3rd Parties dropping by 2.7 percent. Despite our prediction that we may see a wave of Cancellations as the Administration pushed to make trial loan modification permanent, Cancellations remained flat, likely indicating that the Home Affordable Modification Program conversion drive is failing.

foreclosure sales, PropertyRadar

8-Sep8-Oct8-Nov8-Dec9-Jan9-Feb9-Mar9-Apr9-May9-Jun9-Jul9-Aug9-Sep9-Oct9-Nov9-Dec10-Jan10-Feb
22112132961526715608145331641992011214515864197131463214367131551601814165124711394311943
6368112818302644567176904635267077162867410818100048660875710487132871385913737
10768259528338931266109416532305269426913285341139603683262937073606

Foreclosure Inventories

Preforeclosure

Prior MonthPrior Year
-8.01%-11.99%

Scheduled for Sale

Prior MonthPrior Year
-0.49%126.34%

Bank Owned (REO)

Prior MonthPrior Year
1.15%-32.43%

Despite the increase in Notice of Default filings in February, our estimated number of properties in Preforeclosure dropped 8.0 percent due to the relatively high number of Notice of Trustee Sale filings. Properties exiting the foreclosure process nearly matched the number of new Notice of Trustee Sale filings, leaving the number of properties Scheduled for Sale in February flat compared to January. Year-over-year, the increase in properties Scheduled for Sale is a dramatic 126.3 percent, as more and more homeowners have found themselves on the brink of foreclosure. Banks continue to resell their Bank Owned (REO) property in a timely manner, with their inventories also flat from January to February.

foreclosure sales, PropertyRadar

8-Sep8-Oct8-Nov8-Dec9-Jan9-Feb9-Mar9-Apr9-May9-Jun9-Jul9-Aug9-Sep9-Oct9-Nov9-Dec10-Jan10-Feb
12226611406796534112078130550159215179412185603174243186060175283171841169860154905157288146941152322140126
5922659695642376784169374641778239092002111824113141124874131300140382149456151573147570145977145260
15680414881414709014117613733113548812290111279210776210613910020698829954799392693595891199051091550

Foreclosure Discounting

foreclosure sales, PropertyRadar

The courthouse steps remain highly competitive with discounts to market value dropping from 17.5 percent in January to 15.2 percent in February. Despite fewer foreclosure sales overall in February, as well as smaller discounts due to competitive bidding, 3rd party investors purchased more foreclosures, at 23.2 percent, than at any other time since we began tracking trustee sales in September 2006.

Foreclosure Timeframes

<tr >Prior MonthPrior Year

Time to Foreclosure

-2.24%13.17%

Time to Resell – Bank

Prior MonthPrior Year
0.00%0.45%

Time to Resell – 3rd

Prior MonthPrior Year
0.67%-19.45%

While the Time to Foreclose appears to have leveled off, the Time to Resell has increased in recent months. It is not unusual for home sales to slow in the winter months, which would naturally impact Time to Resell. This will be an important metric to track as we move into the Spring selling season as further increases could indicate housing market weakness.

foreclosure sales, PropertyRadar

8-Sep8-Oct8-Nov8-Dec9-Jan9-Feb9-Mar9-Apr9-May9-Jun9-Jul9-Aug9-Sep9-Oct9-Nov9-Dec10-Jan10-Feb
150169163165192198176171180173187185191195198222229224
190192195206218223231234240244238228220219220224224224
192171178187193186214196183168146147141131133141149150

Foreclosure Activity By County

Notice of DefaultNotice of Trustee SaleBack to Bank (REO)Sold to
3rd Party

foreclosure sales, PropertyRadar

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